Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.052466 0.056954 0.061496 0.066430 0.071631 0.076945 0.082775
2025-03-30 0.045724 0.052329 0.059251 0.067017 0.075461 0.084337 0.094346
2025-04-06 0.039955 0.047992 0.056679 0.066707 0.077899 0.089949 0.103841
2025-04-13 0.036543 0.045801 0.056084 0.068242 0.082111 0.097334 0.115198
2025-04-20 0.032446 0.042417 0.053790 0.067547 0.083566 0.101465 0.122808
2025-04-27 0.029571 0.040179 0.052570 0.067867 0.085998 0.106568 0.131430
2025-05-04 0.027604 0.038837 0.052243 0.069090 0.089367 0.112674 0.141166
2025-05-11 0.026345 0.038242 0.052712 0.071180 0.093705 0.119881 0.152191
2025-05-18 0.023122 0.034927 0.049633 0.068769 0.092487 0.120421 0.155299
2025-05-25 0.021133 0.033065 0.048243 0.068322 0.093551 0.123598 0.161471
2025-06-01 0.019366 0.031371 0.046957 0.067905 0.094570 0.126660 0.167468
2025-06-08 0.018774 0.031229 0.047651 0.069988 0.098692 0.133502 0.178053
2025-06-15 0.017812 0.030544 0.047628 0.071176 0.101760 0.139166 0.187374
2025-06-22 0.016800 0.029724 0.047377 0.072037 0.104405 0.144322 0.196122
2025-06-29 0.015499 0.028396 0.046364 0.071831 0.105641 0.147709 0.202700
2025-07-06 0.014929 0.028114 0.046769 0.073508 0.109314 0.154167 0.213119
2025-07-13 0.013650 0.026669 0.045466 0.072807 0.109831 0.156611 0.218527
2025-07-20 0.012793 0.025818 0.044961 0.073158 0.111708 0.160770 0.226088
2025-07-27 0.012276 0.025468 0.045153 0.074454 0.114831 0.166527 0.235682
2025-08-03 0.012045 0.025567 0.045993 0.076659 0.119185 0.173895 0.247362
2025-08-10 0.010573 0.023509 0.043538 0.074121 0.117064 0.172828 0.248267
2025-08-17 0.009741 0.022470 0.042565 0.073652 0.117719 0.175348 0.253744
2025-08-24 0.008978 0.021495 0.041643 0.073213 0.118384 0.177861 0.259207